Head
Strong: Shades of Frank Rizzo in Clinton's difficulties Like the former
Philadelphia mayor, the senator has been unable to offset a lack of black
support with a coalition of working-class white voters.
5.18.08
By Michael
Smerconish
Inquirer
Currents Columnist
An
old South Philly friend recently told me what Frank Rizzo and Hillary Clinton
have in common. He had a serious point: Each was unable to build a large enough
coalition of white, working-class voters to offset an opponent's monolithic
minority vote.
W. Wilson Goode was the only
man ever to defeat Rizzo in an election, and he did so by winning a huge
proportion of the black vote. When Rizzo faced Goode in a Democratic primary in
1983, Goode won 98 percent of the city's black vote. Rizzo later changed his
registration to Republican, and when the two squared off in the 1987 general
election, Goode captured 97 percent of that same vote. Sen. Barack Obama, by
comparison, consistently attracts black voters in the low 90s.
You could say Clinton lacks
enough "bitter" voters in the national equivalent of South
Philadelphia's 26th and 39th Wards to offset Obama's 20th (North Philly), 14th
(Northern Liberties) and 27th (University City) Wards. Especially when combined
with "elite" voters - the Society Hills and Rittenhouse Squares of
the country.
In other words, Rizzo and
Clinton found themselves so poorly supported among African American voters that
they needed to win an impossibly high percentage of the white vote to prevail.
Each found strength, albeit not enough, among non-college-educated, blue-collar
whites, while their opponents put together a coalition of minorities and
well-educated liberals.
Both also got into trouble
with comments about the racial dynamics of their constituency. Consider Rizzo's
experience on Sept. 21, 1978 - the defining moment of that campaign.
Rizzo himself wasn't running
because the City's Home Rule Charter limited him to two successive terms in
office. But he was pushing Philadelphians to vote to amend the charter and
remove the term limitation.
Weeks before voters were to
head to the polls, Rizzo addressed the Northeast Coalition for Community
Problems. There he lamented that his opponents had urged blacks to "vote
black." Those opponents - headlined by a united African American community
- had boiled the charter change down to race.
Rizzo said: "I'm asking
white people and blacks who think like me to vote like Frank Rizzo." He
continued: "I say vote white." He added that "blacks who think
like me, and there's a lot of them," should do likewise.
In that race, Rizzo secured
only 34 percent of the vote. The city's African American wards voted against
the charter change by 96 percent.
In the aftermath of the
primaries in North Carolina and Indiana, Clinton sounded a bit like Rizzo when
she told a USA Today reporter: "There was just an AP article posted that
found how Sen. Obama's support among working, hard-working Americans, white
Americans, is weakening again, and how the whites in both states who had not
completed college were supporting me. And in independents, I was running even
with him and doing even better with Democratic-leaning independents. I have a
much broader base to build a winning coalition on."
She also said: "These
are the people you have to win if you're a Democrat in sufficient numbers to
actually win the election. Everybody knows that."
That sounds like the New
Millennium version of Rizzo's 1978 pronouncement.
Both brought out legions of
voters decidedly for or against them. Truly "undecided" voters in any
contest where Rizzo's name appeared were as rare as such voters are with
Clinton today. People tend either to really love, or to really hate, each of
them. This despite numerous efforts by the two to reinvent
themselves.
In fact, at one point
Rizzo's 1983 ads proclaimed: "You don't have to like Frank Rizzo to vote
for him as mayor." Clinton has similarly asked voters to seek out the
larger cause, imploring us to decide - for the good of our children - that she
is the candidate ready to answer the White House phone at 3 a.m.
Presumably, that is where
the comparisons end. While both were Democrats, Rizzo changed parties late in
his career. Then again, Clinton was raised a Goldwater Girl, and she recently
has called for a temporary reduction in the federal gasoline tax. This after she has taken an increasingly hard line on Iran.
Hmmmm.
Michael Smerconish's column
appears on Thursdays in the Daily News and on Sundays in Currents. He can be
heard from 5 to 9 a.m. weekdays on "The Big Talker," WPHT-AM (1210).
Contact him via the Web at http://www.mastalk.com.